Smalltime's Macroeconomic Outlook Remains the Same : Small Time Blog

Smalltime's Macroeconomic Outlook Remains the Same

by Bradley Voight on 11/22/16

The world economic picture is still one of expansion and not contraction. The presidential election, with all it's fireworks, does not change anything about the business cycle. That is why I am sticking with my macro forecast of continued economic growth world wide. Everyone is trying to prepare for the crisis that just happened and that clouds their vision of what is actually happening on the ground. In the 92 months since the market bottom on March 9th of 2009, there are 14 million more people working. Those 14 million people are spending money and even getting raises. Weekly applications for unemployment are at a 43 year low, according to the bureau of labor statistics. 


Donald Trump holds the missing piece of the puzzle to put America, and the world, into a growth spurt....it's the infrastructure, stupid! The American Society of Civil Engineers spells it out in plain English here. If Trump can spend half of the $3.6 trillion that is recommended in the engineers report card, we are in for 4 to 5 % GDP growth! Plus there is 55 trillion dollars in private wealth being left from the Baby Boomers to the Millennials and gen X'ers. I'm betting on America through at least 2022 and I encourage everyone to join me! Just remember that there are no sure things but there are high degrees of probability!

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